Geithner Presses China on Currency, Seeks Support on Iran

January 11, 2012, 1:23 AM EST By Ian Katz and Cheyenne Hopkins

(Updates with Geithner comment in third paragraph.)

Jan. 11 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner will urge Asia’s two biggest economies to cut Iranian oil imports and seek to narrow differences with China on trade and currency disputes on a visit to Beijing and Tokyo this week.

Geithner, who today holds talks with Premier Wen Jiabao, Vice President Xi Jinping and Vice Premier Li Keqiang, arrived in Beijing yesterday and met Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan. In Japan, he is due to meet with Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and Finance Minister Jun Azumi tomorrow.

“On economic growth, financial stability around the world, on nonproliferation, we have what we view as a very strong cooperative relationship with the government and we are looking forward to building on that,” Geithner said at the start of his meeting with Xi.

Wang, appearing with Geithner yesterday, said the two countries “have a lot of issues to talk about in the areas of economy, finance, trade and investment.”

“Apart from the bilateral aspect, we are also having important cooperation in the multilateral and global arena in the areas of economy, finance, trade policies and also G-20 related affairs,” Wang said.

Geithner will probably encounter resistance in China, which disagrees with U.S. assertions that its currency is undervalued and is sparring with the Obama administration over trade in goods from chicken to steel. At the same time, he may seek to avert a public split at a time when a likely European slide to recession is already clouding the global economic outlook.

Treasury Bills

“These are the world’s second- and third-largest economies and the two biggest holders of Treasury bills,” said Stephen Myrow, a U.S. Treasury official during the administration of George W. Bush and now managing director of ACG Analytics Inc., a Washington investment research firm. “These are relationships that need to be continually nurtured.”

China is the largest foreign holder of U.S. government securities, with $1.13 trillion in October. Japan is second among foreign nations with $979 billion.

A plea to cut back on Iranian oil, tied to the Obama administration’s sanctions last month aimed at that country’s nuclear program, may not resonate with Chinese officials, intelligence and foreign-affairs analysts said.

“China will be less OK with it than Japan,” Matthew Levitt, a former financial intelligence official at the Treasury Department who is now at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, said in an interview. “But neither wants to be seen as rogue.”

Iranian Oil

The two countries are the largest importers of Iranian oil, with China accounting for 22 percent and Japan buying 14 percent of Tehran’s crude oil exports during the first half of last year, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. As a group, the European Union buys 18 percent of Iran’s oil exports.

Wen, China’s premier, will visit Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar from Jan. 14 to Jan. 19, China’s foreign ministry said yesterday.

Wen will attend a conference in Abu Dhabi and make a speech about China’s energy policy, Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Weimin said in a statement on the ministry’s website. Wen will hold talks with leaders of the three nations during his six-day visit and “promote the development of China-Arab relations and relations with the Islamic world,” Liu said.

Trade Rules

In China, Geithner may tell officials that they need to follow through on pledges to shift the world’s second-largest economy more toward domestic demand and away from exports, William Cline, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, said in an interview Jan. 9. The real value of the yuan “needs to rise by 10 to 20 percent,” he said.

President Barack Obama plans to form a government task force to monitor China’s compliance with U.S. trade rules, the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter.

The panel will include officials from the Treasury, Commerce and Energy departments, and the U.S. Trade Representative’s office, it said. An announcement of the enforcement task force is expected later this month, the newspaper said in its online edition.

Substantially Undervalued

The Treasury Department said Dec. 27 in its twice-yearly report on global currencies that the yuan is substantially undervalued and the U.S. will “press for policy changes that yield greater exchange-rate flexibility.” China’s state-run Xinhua News Agency replied in a commentary that the U.S. should move beyond the “useless, meaningless” quarrel over the exchange rate.

The yuan closed at 6.3150 in Shanghai yesterday, little changed from 6.3146 on Jan. 9, according to the China Foreign Exchange Trade System. The currency is allowed to trade 0.5 percent on either side of the daily fixing. In Hong Kong’s offshore market, the yuan slipped 0.03 percent to 6.3159.

China’s growth may slow to 8.5 percent this year, down from 9.2 percent in 2011, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The central bank lowered the required reserve ratio for banks for the first time in almost three years in December to encourage lending, a shifting of its stance from fighting inflation as price pressures ease.

Record Earthquake

The Treasury secretary arrives in Japan as that nation copes with a fading rebound from the aftermath of a record earthquake in March 2011. Gross domestic product probably shrank 0.1 percent in the three months through December, the third contraction in four quarters, according to estimates by the Japan Center for Economic Research, an independent analysis group in Tokyo.

Prime Minister Noda’s administration has overseen record sales of yen to counter exchange-rate appreciation that has prompted companies including Nissan Motor Co. and Panasonic Corp. to plan shifting some operations abroad. The U.S. Treasury criticized the currency intervention in a report last month, saying Japan should instead focus on domestic policy initiatives.

“Geithner may be looking for input from America’s key trading partners in Asia on how to promote a sustainable recovery in world economic demand,” Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd., said in an e-mail. “He may want to hear directly as well in face-to- face meetings on just how worried are China and Japan officials about the outlook for their own domestic economies.”

WTO Panel

Commerce may also be on the agenda. The U.S. Trade Representative asked the World Trade Organization last month to establish a panel that will seek a settlement in a conflict with China over duties on American poultry.

China set a duty of as much as 105.4 percent last year on U.S. broiler-chicken products. About 300,000 workers and farmers have been hurt by China’s actions, Trade Representative Ron Kirk said in September.

The chicken-import dispute may add to tensions between the world’s two largest economies, which have clashed over access to each others’ markets for products including steel pipes, tires, movies and music. The WTO rejected in September China’s appeal of a ruling that backed U.S. duties on Chinese tire imports.

Geithner hasn’t been to China since March 2011 and to Japan since November 2010. Treasury officials traveling with him include Lael Brainard, undersecretary for international affairs; Robert Dohner, deputy assistant secretary for Asia; and David Loevinger, senior coordinator for China affairs.

Foreign Sanctions

Obama signed into law Dec. 31 a defense-spending bill that includes a provision that would impose sanctions on foreign financial institutions that conduct transactions with the Central Bank of Iran.

The law gives the administration flexibility by allowing it to waive sanctions for as long as 120 days at a time if the president determines they would threaten national security. Iran threatened last month to shut the Strait of Hormuz, a transit point for one-fifth of oil traded worldwide, if sanctions are imposed on its crude exports.

“The regular economic and trade relations and energy cooperation between China and Iran has nothing to do with the nuclear issue,” Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai told reporters in Beijing Jan. 9. “We should not mix issues with different natures.”

Chinese officials aren’t “as committed to a unified position with the United States, don’t philosophically agree the sanctions should hurt the Iranian people or the Iranian economy,” said Kenneth Katzman, an Iran specialist for the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service.

--With assistance from Hans Nichols, Indira Lakshmanan, Michelle Jamrisko and William McQuillen in Washington, Kevin Hamlin in Beijing. Editors: Kevin Costelloe, Gail DeGeorge

To contact the reporters on this story: Ian Katz in Washington at ikatz2@bloomberg.net; Cheyenne Hopkins at Chopkins19@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Chris Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net

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Geithner Sees ‘War of Attrition’ Against Financial Overhaul

May 25, 2011, 12:20 PM EDT By Ian Katz and Cheyenne Hopkins

(Updates with comment on debt ceiling in fifth paragraph.)

May 25 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said some lawmakers and bankers are waging a “war of attrition” against efforts to strengthen regulation of the financial system.

“You’re seeing some people run a war of attrition against the reform act,” Geithner said at an event today in Washington, without identifying the people. “They’re trying to starve the agencies of funding so they can’t enforce protections for investors.”

Geithner also said opponents of the Obama administration are trying to block presidential appointments to regulatory agencies “as a way to get leverage over the outcome, and they’re trying to slow down so that they can weaken over time the thrust” of the Dodd-Frank financial overhaul law. “We’re not going to let that happen.”

Republican lawmakers are opposing the nomination of Peter Diamond to the Federal Reserve Board. The White House renominated Diamond, a Nobel Prize winner, in January, marking a third try at confirmation after the Senate adjourned in December without approving him. Diamond’s initial candidacy was returned to the White House in August under a procedural objection.

On negotiations to raise the $14.3 trillion federal debt ceiling, Geithner said Congress will ultimately “do the right thing” and raise the limit. Some lawmakers are using the talks for political posturing, he said.

‘All Theater’

“Right now this is all theater,” Geithner said. “I think the vast bulk of Congress understands it completely. I think there are some people pretending not to understand, who think there is leverage for them in threatening default. I don’t understand that negotiating position.” Geithner has taken measures to stay below the debt limit until Aug. 2.

This month, 44 Senate Republicans said they would not confirm a director for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau without changes to its structure and funding. President Barack Obama appointed Elizabeth Warren, a Harvard University law professor, as an adviser to set up the bureau after then-Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, said Republican opposition would prevent her from winning Senate confirmation.

“We want to put up people who can be confirmed,” Geithner said. “We want to put up talented people who can do those jobs. Finding the intersection between those two things has become difficult because people are less willing to come and Congress is proving itself unwilling to confirm Nobel Prize-winning economists.”

‘Dark Forces’

Asked by a moderator at the breakfast held by Politico to identify the “mysterious forces” working against the administration, Geithner said, smiling, “dark forces, I would say.”

On the search for a successor to Dominique Strauss-Kahn to lead the International Monetary Fund, Geithner said both French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde and Mexican central bank Governor Agustin Carstens are “very talented” candidates.

The U.S., the largest IMF shareholder, will play a “significant” role in the choice to replace Strauss-Kahn, a former French finance minister who resigned after his arrest on charges of attempted rape and sexual assault.

Lagarde “is an exceptionally capable person, an excellent mix of financial economic knowledge, talent and the kind of political skill you need to navigate this context,” Geithner said. Carstens “has that as well.”

Lagarde today declared her candidacy, saying she should be judged on the basis of experience rather than nationality. A European has held the IMF managing directorship since its founding at the end of World War II, while an American has always headed the World Bank.

The IMF executive directors representing Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa united yesterday to protest publicly the presumption that the fund’s next chief once again be a European.

--With assistance from Sandrine Rastello and James Tyson in Washington. Editors: Chris Wellisz, Carlos Torres

To contact the reporters on this story: Ian Katz in Washington at ikatz2@bloomberg.net; Cheyenne Hopkins in Washington at Chopkins19@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Chris Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net

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Geithner Says Damage From Debt Default May Be ‘Irrevocable’

May 14, 2011, 2:06 PM EDT By Ian Katz and Daniel Enoch

(Updates with Bennet’s comment in final two paragraphs.)

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said a default arising from failing to raise the debt limit could cause “irrevocable damage” to the economy, risk a “double-dip” recession and increase unemployment.

“Default would not only increase borrowing costs for the federal government, but also for families, businesses and local governments -- reducing investment and job creation throughout the economy,” Geithner said in a letter dated yesterday to Senator Michael Bennet, a Colorado Democrat.

Failing to raise the $14.29 trillion debt ceiling would “force the United States to default” on obligations such as payments to service members, citizens, investors and businesses, Geithner wrote. “This would be an unprecedented event in American history. A default would inflict catastrophic, far- reaching damage on our nation’s economy, significantly reducing growth and increasing unemployment.”

The U.S. is scheduled to reach the debt limit May 16 and can keep borrowing until about Aug. 2 by taking steps that include declaring a “debt-issuance suspension period” under the statute governing the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund, Geithner said May 2. That would allow the U.S. to redeem existing Treasury securities held by that fund as investments.

Cuts Debated

Democrats and Republicans are debating how much to trim the deficit and whether to extend the debt ceiling. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, said May 12 he wants “significant” near-term cuts in federal agency budgets paired with longer-term reductions to programs like Medicare and Medicaid in exchange for his support for an increase in the debt limit.

“Even a short-term default could cause irrevocable damage to the American economy,” Geithner said in response to a letter from Bennet requesting an estimate of the consequences of failing to increase the limit.

Raising the debt ceiling “does not authorize new spending commitments,” Geithner said. “It simply allows the government to finance existing legal obligations that Congresses and presidents of both parties have made in the past.”

In response to Geithner’s letter, Bennett said it was “absolutely urgent and essential” that lawmakers draft a plan that “materially reduces the deficit.”

Still, “playing politics with the debt limit would rattle the capital markets, blow an even bigger hole in our deficit and would likely throw our economy into another deep recession,” he said in an e-mailed statement.

--With reporting by Phil Mattingly in Washington. Editors: Daniel Enoch, Sylvia Wier.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ian Katz in Washington at ikatz2@bloomberg.net;

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net

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Geithner Sees ‘Irrevocable Damage’ in Failure to Lift Debt Limit

May 14, 2011, 11:01 AM EDT By Daniel Enoch

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said failing to raise the country’s debt limit may lead to “irrevocable damage” to the economy and risk a “double-dip recession.” Geithner commented in a letter dated yesterday to Senator Michael Bennet, Democrat of Colorado.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Daniel Enoch at denoch@bloomberg.net

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